PITCHER MATCHUP

Anthony Kay vs Houston Astros

How the Houston Astros's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Anthony Kay's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Anthony Kay's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .259vs RHH xwOBA .378Seasons 2026
Sweeper 23%Four-Seam Fastball 22%Sinker 18%Cutter 17%Changeup 14%Slider 6%

How the Houston Astros's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Houston Astros's top-9-by-AB hitters against Anthony Kay, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 CW Christian Walker RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Walker
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .230 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YA Yordan Alvarez SH .367
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yordan Alvarez
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 IP Isaac Paredes RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Paredes
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JA Jose Altuve RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Altuve
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 CS Cam Smith RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cam Smith
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Jeremy Peña RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremy Peña
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .235 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 YD Yainer Diaz RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yainer Diaz
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 TT Taylor Trammell LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Trammell
    • Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (17% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.