PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .271vs RHH xwOBA .326Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 19%Changeup 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HD Henry Davis RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JG Jacob Gonzalez LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Gonzalez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.