PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .269vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 19%Changeup 18%Curveball 12%Cutter 2%Unknown 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 488 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 JM Jake Mangum SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .287
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HD Henry Davis RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-26 game page →