PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .269vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 19%Changeup 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 606 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VR Victor Robles RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LR Leo Rivas SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Rivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.