PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .264vs RHH xwOBA .329Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Sweeper 19%Changeup 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 596 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.