PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .274vs RHH xwOBA .328Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 48%Sweeper 19%Changeup 18%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 431 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 558 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .418 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-12 game page →