PITCHER MATCHUP

Andrew Abbott vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Andrew Abbott's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 19%Sweeper 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 NC Nathan Church LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JF José Fermín RHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 VS Victor Scott II LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BT Bryan Torres LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (19% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.