PITCHER MATCHUP
Andrew Abbott vs Atlanta Braves
How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Andrew Abbott's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Andrew Abbott's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Changeup 19%Sweeper 19%Curveball 12%Cutter 3%
How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Andrew Abbott, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .318
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .241 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-23 game page →