September 27, 2026 · AL East
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CIN
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .268 | .334 | .470 | .804 | 32 | 110 | 147 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .285 | .366 | .515 | .881 | 28 | 74 | 167 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .215 | .325 | .415 | .740 | 23 | 57 | 116 | .725 |
| 4 Matt McLain 2B · R | .184 | .274 | .334 | .608 | 15 | 39 | 133 | .729 |
| 5 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .209 | .305 | .423 | .728 | 24 | 69 | 161 | .728 |
| 6 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .246 | .327 | .411 | .738 | 15 | 54 | 123 | .723 |
| 7 Dane Myers CF · R | .260 | .347 | .372 | .719 | 7 | 26 | 79 | .708 |
| 8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R | .145 | .200 | .232 | .432 | 5 | 9 | 48 | .696 |
| 9 Jose Trevino C · R | .216 | .220 | .338 | .558 | 5 | 19 | 29 | .695 |
HOME · TOR Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Ernie Clement 2B · R | .265 | .291 | .372 | .663 | 9 | 48 | 56 | .715 |
| 2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R | .235 | .310 | .459 | .769 | 33 | 89 | 177 | .718 |
| 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R | .263 | .336 | .359 | .695 | 9 | 56 | 78 | .779 |
| 4 Andrés Giménez SS · L | .242 | .287 | .356 | .643 | 9 | 58 | 92 | .704 |
| 5 George Springer DH · R | .248 | .323 | .407 | .730 | 15 | 53 | 91 | .728 |
| 6 Nathan Lukes RF · L | .274 | .322 | .387 | .709 | 10 | 39 | 63 | .716 |
| 7 Myles Straw CF · R | .238 | .304 | .345 | .649 | 3 | 26 | 41 | .702 |
| 8 Alejandro Kirk C · R | .282 | .353 | .424 | .777 | 10 | 42 | 36 | .730 |
| 9 Brandon Valenzuela C · S | .219 | .304 | .361 | .665 | 8 | 21 | 68 | .737 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .285
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .354
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .338
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CIN
Lineup 3.1 R
Bunts 2.2 R
IBBs 4.4 R
HOME · TOR
Lineup 2.5 R
Bunts 5.3 R
IBBs 6.9 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CIN
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
HOME · TOR
- Available 5
- Limited 4
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CIN
3-7
L2
-41 run diff
LLWLWLLWLL
HOME · TOR
4-6
W1
-5 run diff
WLLWLLWWLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Blue Jays staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.