September 25, 2026 · AL East
Cincinnati Reds at Toronto Blue Jays
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CIN
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .268 | .334 | .470 | .804 | 32 | 110 | 147 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .285 | .366 | .515 | .881 | 28 | 74 | 167 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .215 | .325 | .415 | .740 | 23 | 57 | 116 | .725 |
| 4 Matt McLain 2B · R | .184 | .274 | .334 | .608 | 15 | 39 | 133 | .729 |
| 5 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .209 | .305 | .423 | .728 | 24 | 69 | 161 | .728 |
| 6 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .246 | .327 | .411 | .738 | 15 | 54 | 123 | .723 |
| 7 Dane Myers CF · R | .260 | .347 | .372 | .719 | 7 | 26 | 79 | .708 |
| 8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R | .145 | .200 | .232 | .432 | 5 | 9 | 48 | .696 |
| 9 Jose Trevino C · R | .216 | .220 | .338 | .558 | 5 | 19 | 29 | .695 |
HOME · TOR Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Ernie Clement 2B · R | .265 | .291 | .372 | .663 | 9 | 48 | 56 | .715 |
| 2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R | .235 | .310 | .459 | .769 | 33 | 89 | 177 | .718 |
| 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R | .263 | .336 | .359 | .695 | 9 | 56 | 78 | .779 |
| 4 Andrés Giménez SS · L | .242 | .287 | .356 | .643 | 9 | 58 | 92 | .704 |
| 5 George Springer DH · R | .248 | .323 | .407 | .730 | 15 | 53 | 91 | .728 |
| 6 Nathan Lukes RF · L | .274 | .322 | .387 | .709 | 10 | 39 | 63 | .716 |
| 7 Myles Straw CF · R | .238 | .304 | .345 | .649 | 3 | 26 | 41 | .702 |
| 8 Alejandro Kirk C · R | .282 | .353 | .424 | .777 | 10 | 42 | 36 | .730 |
| 9 Brandon Valenzuela C · S | .219 | .304 | .361 | .665 | 8 | 21 | 68 | .737 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Curveball (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (25% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CIN
Lineup 3.1 R
Bunts 2.2 R
IBBs 4.4 R
HOME · TOR
Lineup 2.5 R
Bunts 5.3 R
IBBs 6.9 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CIN
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
HOME · TOR
- Available 5
- Limited 4
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CIN
3-7
L2
-41 run diff
LLWLWLLWLL
HOME · TOR
4-6
W1
-5 run diff
WLLWLLWWLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Blue Jays staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.