PREVIEW Starts 7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
September 23, 2026 · AL East

Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox

September 23, 20267:10 PM ETFenway Park
AWAY
Cleveland Guardians
81-75
—
@
HOME
Boston Red Sox
84-72
—

Probable starters

AWAY · CLE
Foster Griffin
Foster Griffin
HOME · BOS
Sonny Gray
Sonny Gray

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · CLE Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Jo Adell RF · R .241 .295 .401 .696 22 93 154 .733
2 Steven Kwan LF · L .280 .378 .345 .723 3 31 60 .724
3 Brayan Rocchio SS · S .250 .312 .381 .693 13 70 82 .717
4 Chase DeLauter RF · L .291 .364 .457 .821 15 65 77 .742
5 José Ramírez 3B · S .237 .324 .376 .700 12 51 67 .756
6 Travis Bazzana 2B · L .246 .338 .407 .745 15 57 99 .742
7 Nathaniel Lowe 1B · L .253 .320 .450 .770 17 59 98 .721
8 Angel Martínez LF · S .253 .289 .463 .752 17 57 88 .726
9 Patrick Bailey C · S .205 .271 .320 .591 8 34 87 .704
HOME · BOS Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Wilyer Abreu RF · L .251 .332 .453 .785 24 74 135 .743
2 Jarren Duran LF · L .204 .261 .362 .623 20 69 163 .746
3 Caleb Durbin 3B · R .255 .338 .389 .727 13 64 77 .733
4 Willson Contreras 1B · R .276 .387 .518 .905 27 81 134 .734
5 Adley Rutschman C · S .234 .309 .413 .722 12 57 64 .728
6 Andruw Monasterio SS · R .239 .299 .384 .683 6 40 64 .715
7 Trevor Story SS · R .247 .278 .368 .646 5 29 79 .711
8 Nick Sogard 2B · S .250 .340 .389 .729 5 19 51 .717
9 Connor Wong C · R .234 .310 .346 .656 4 24 57 .708

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

CLE starter vs Red Sox lineup

Foster Griffin (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .311
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 508 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 643 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .251 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Adley Rutschman SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TS Trevor Story RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NS Nick Sogard SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Cutter (32% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (12% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Foster Griffin vs Red Sox: full season matchup breakdown →
BOS starter vs Guardians lineup

Sonny Gray (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 665 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 593 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (20% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Sonny Gray vs Guardians: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · CLE
Stephen Vogt
Stephen Vogt
Lineup 3.0 R Bunts 3.2 R IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · BOS
Chad Tracy
Chad Tracy
Lineup 2.7 R Bunts 3.1 R IBBs 1.5 R Interim

Bullpen availability

AWAY · CLE
  • Available 7
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · BOS
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · CLE
7-3 W5 +14 run diff
WWWWWLWLWL
HOME · BOS
4-6 L2 -4 run diff
LLWWLLWWLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Guardians and Red Sox staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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