September 23, 2026 · NL West
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
@
Probable starters
AWAY · AZ
HOME · COL
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · AZ Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Corbin Carroll RF · L | .240 | .331 | .470 | .801 | 22 | 72 | 147 | .771 |
| 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS · S | .256 | .363 | .367 | .730 | 9 | 52 | 82 | .754 |
| 3 Ketel Marte 2B · S | .249 | .315 | .437 | .752 | 22 | 74 | 86 | .766 |
| 4 Nolan Arenado 3B · R | .247 | .322 | .455 | .777 | 27 | 78 | 115 | .706 |
| 5 Gabriel Moreno C · R | .307 | .386 | .481 | .867 | 15 | 75 | 78 | .741 |
| 6 Ildemaro Vargas 1B · S | .254 | .297 | .380 | .677 | 9 | 67 | 47 | .696 |
| 7 Tim Tawa 1B · R | .234 | .292 | .385 | .677 | 10 | 38 | 81 | .722 |
| 8 Jesús Sánchez RF · L | .256 | .314 | .406 | .720 | 8 | 35 | 73 | .726 |
| 9 Lars Nootbaar DH · L | .237 | .339 | .376 | .715 | 7 | 31 | 64 | .723 |
HOME · COL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 TJ Rumfield 1B · L | .300 | .392 | .451 | .843 | 15 | 70 | 85 | .733 |
| 2 Jake McCarthy LF · L | .297 | .340 | .490 | .830 | 15 | 83 | 90 | .712 |
| 3 Hunter Goodman C · R | .245 | .312 | .528 | .840 | 39 | 82 | 172 | .747 |
| 4 Ezequiel Tovar SS · R | .215 | .262 | .339 | .601 | 11 | 42 | 125 | .738 |
| 5 Mickey Moniak LF · L | .241 | .282 | .482 | .764 | 22 | 64 | 117 | .734 |
| 6 Kyle Karros 3B · R | .258 | .353 | .420 | .773 | 12 | 48 | 91 | .735 |
| 7 Troy Johnston RF · L | .281 | .350 | .397 | .747 | 4 | 50 | 80 | .721 |
| 8 Connor Norby 2B · R | .242 | .341 | .377 | .718 | 7 | 32 | 105 | .730 |
| 9 Cole Carrigg CF · S | .271 | .335 | .461 | .796 | 10 | 48 | 83 | .742 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
3 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CN Connor Norby RHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Norby
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 CC Cole Carrigg SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Carrigg
- Changeup (27% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (26% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 648 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 KM Ketel Marte SH .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TT Tim Tawa RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (26% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · AZ
Lineup 4.2 R
Bunts 4.8 R
IBBs 4.0 R
HOME · COL
Lineup 3.9 R
Bunts 2.8 R
IBBs 3.6 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · AZ
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · COL
- Available 6
- Limited 1
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · AZ
4-6
W2
-3 run diff
WWLLLWLLWL
HOME · COL
2-8
L1
-23 run diff
LWLLLWLLLL
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Diamondbacks and Rockies staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.