September 22, 2026 · NL East
Cincinnati Reds at Atlanta Braves
@
Probable starters
AWAY · CIN
HOME · ATL
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · CIN Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .268 | .334 | .470 | .804 | 32 | 110 | 147 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .285 | .366 | .515 | .881 | 28 | 74 | 167 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .215 | .325 | .415 | .740 | 23 | 57 | 116 | .725 |
| 4 Matt McLain 2B · R | .184 | .274 | .334 | .608 | 15 | 39 | 133 | .729 |
| 5 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .209 | .305 | .423 | .728 | 24 | 69 | 161 | .728 |
| 6 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .246 | .327 | .411 | .738 | 15 | 54 | 123 | .723 |
| 7 Dane Myers CF · R | .260 | .347 | .372 | .719 | 7 | 26 | 79 | .708 |
| 8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B · R | .145 | .200 | .232 | .432 | 5 | 9 | 48 | .696 |
| 9 Jose Trevino C · R | .216 | .220 | .338 | .558 | 5 | 19 | 29 | .695 |
HOME · ATL Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Matt Olson 1B · L | .253 | .324 | .506 | .830 | 40 | 89 | 169 | .764 |
| 2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S | .242 | .298 | .402 | .700 | 22 | 72 | 97 | .723 |
| 3 Michael Harris II CF · L | .289 | .318 | .486 | .804 | 26 | 85 | 117 | .737 |
| 4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R | .273 | .318 | .394 | .712 | 11 | 70 | 72 | .701 |
| 5 Austin Riley 3B · R | .220 | .292 | .360 | .652 | 17 | 69 | 193 | .741 |
| 6 Drake Baldwin C · L | .282 | .356 | .456 | .812 | 24 | 77 | 129 | .749 |
| 7 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF · R | .260 | .352 | .463 | .815 | 20 | 55 | 101 | .776 |
| 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L | .231 | .313 | .393 | .706 | 12 | 40 | 94 | .711 |
| 9 Dominic Smith DH · L | .255 | .312 | .376 | .688 | 8 | 44 | 46 | .713 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 669 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 528 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Cutter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (21% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (9% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 616 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 548 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Matt McLain RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 DM Dane Myers RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JT Jose Trevino RHB .289
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Trevino
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (9% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CIN
Lineup 3.1 R
Bunts 2.2 R
IBBs 4.4 R
HOME · ATL
Lineup 4.2 R
Bunts 1.3 R
IBBs 3.1 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CIN
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
HOME · ATL
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CIN
3-7
L2
-41 run diff
LLWLWLLWLL
HOME · ATL
7-3
W3
+12 run diff
WWWLWLLWWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Braves staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.