September 22, 2026 · NL West
San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
@
Probable starters
AWAY · SD
HOME
TBD
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · SD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Fernando Tatis Jr. RF · R | .285 | .355 | .468 | .823 | 25 | 81 | 126 | .756 |
| 2 Jackson Merrill CF · L | .255 | .304 | .445 | .749 | 26 | 86 | 155 | .765 |
| 3 Manny Machado 3B · R | .219 | .307 | .406 | .713 | 28 | 84 | 138 | .733 |
| 4 Xander Bogaerts SS · R | .229 | .328 | .339 | .667 | 12 | 56 | 106 | .715 |
| 5 Ty France 1B · R | .301 | .366 | .519 | .885 | 21 | 70 | 100 | .703 |
| 6 Jake Cronenworth 2B · L | .229 | .310 | .327 | .637 | 7 | 36 | 90 | .714 |
| 7 Freddy Fermin C · R | .194 | .268 | .304 | .572 | 4 | 20 | 55 | .708 |
| 8 Luis Campusano C · R | .263 | .363 | .439 | .802 | 8 | 29 | 52 | .726 |
| 9 Samad Taylor LF · R | .343 | .417 | .445 | .862 | 2 | 18 | 40 | .721 |
HOME · LAD Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Freddie Freeman 1B · L | .292 | .367 | .438 | .805 | 16 | 67 | 110 | .760 |
| 2 Kyle Tucker RF · L | .234 | .334 | .393 | .727 | 17 | 70 | 102 | .767 |
| 3 Max Muncy 3B · L | .256 | .352 | .500 | .852 | 29 | 76 | 136 | .730 |
| 4 Mookie Betts SS · R | .259 | .325 | .454 | .779 | 22 | 67 | 54 | .749 |
| 5 Teoscar Hernández LF · R | .266 | .335 | .423 | .758 | 15 | 63 | 127 | .728 |
| 6 Tommy Edman 2B · S | .245 | .328 | .376 | .704 | 7 | 38 | 63 | .708 |
| 7 Alex Freeland 2B · S | .234 | .327 | .325 | .652 | 4 | 21 | 74 | .734 |
| 8 Will Smith C · R | .248 | .342 | .410 | .752 | 9 | 33 | 41 | .743 |
| 9 Miguel Rojas 2B · R | .271 | .311 | .399 | .710 | 4 | 22 | 26 | .697 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 627 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MM Max Muncy LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MB Mookie Betts RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 501 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TE Tommy Edman SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AF Alex Freeland SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Freeland
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .351
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Sinker (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (25% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · SD
Lineup 2.3 R
Bunts 3.1 R
IBBs 3.1 R
HOME · LAD
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 1.5 R
IBBs 6.3 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · SD
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · LAD
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · SD
9-1
W5
+24 run diff
WWWWWLWWWW
HOME · LAD
7-3
W4
+24 run diff
WWWWLWWLLW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Padres and Dodgers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.