New York Mets at Atlanta Braves
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Bo Bichette 3B · R | .257 | .301 | .370 | .671 | 11 | 56 | 93 | .742 |
| 2 Carson Benge RF · L | .267 | .327 | .410 | .737 | 13 | 44 | 101 | .746 |
| 3 Marcus Semien 2B · R | .214 | .274 | .359 | .633 | 13 | 37 | 83 | .709 |
| 4 Brett Baty 3B · L | .219 | .290 | .330 | .620 | 7 | 34 | 99 | .725 |
| 5 A.J. Ewing CF · L | .262 | .328 | .399 | .727 | 7 | 28 | 78 | .755 |
| 6 Francisco Alvarez C · R | .251 | .338 | .431 | .769 | 12 | 28 | 79 | .746 |
| 7 Francisco Lindor SS · S | .230 | .311 | .422 | .733 | 10 | 28 | 51 | .749 |
| 8 Luis Torrens C · R | .234 | .300 | .359 | .659 | 4 | 27 | 42 | .708 |
| 9 Jared Young 1B · L | .253 | .336 | .430 | .766 | 7 | 22 | 41 | .716 |
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Matt Olson 1B · L | .269 | .347 | .549 | .896 | 32 | 70 | 123 | .764 |
| 2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S | .261 | .312 | .436 | .748 | 19 | 63 | 71 | .723 |
| 3 Michael Harris II CF · L | .293 | .322 | .500 | .822 | 20 | 66 | 83 | .737 |
| 4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R | .269 | .318 | .404 | .722 | 10 | 58 | 59 | .701 |
| 5 Austin Riley 3B · R | .221 | .296 | .362 | .658 | 13 | 56 | 142 | .741 |
| 6 Drake Baldwin C · L | .271 | .361 | .458 | .819 | 20 | 59 | 86 | .749 |
| 7 Lane Thomas CF · R | .229 | .324 | .390 | .714 | 10 | 38 | 80 | .716 |
| 8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L | .228 | .311 | .378 | .689 | 8 | 32 | 72 | .714 |
| 9 Dominic Smith DH · L | .268 | .323 | .402 | .725 | 8 | 43 | 36 | .713 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 MO Matt Olson LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 AR Austin Riley RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .359
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
- Available 5
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 0
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with NYM listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Mets and Braves staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.