Toronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia Phillies Preview — August 9, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY

TBD

HOME · PHI

Jesús Luzardo

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · TOR Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Ernie Clement 2B · R	.287	.311	.415	.726	9	38	43	.715
2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R	.229	.303	.439	.742	24	70	144	.718
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R	.259	.338	.349	.687	6	44	62	.779
4 Andrés Giménez SS · L	.235	.281	.353	.634	7	41	69	.708
5 George Springer DH · R	.234	.316	.398	.714	12	36	68	.730
6 Nathan Lukes RF · L	.261	.317	.360	.677	5	18	43	.716
7 Jesús Sánchez RF · L	.268	.310	.434	.744	8	32	55	.726
8 Myles Straw RF · R	.225	.278	.340	.618	3	18	27	.702
9 Brandon Valenzuela C · S	.235	.311	.396	.707	8	21	56	.737

HOME · PHI Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Trea Turner SS · R	.252	.298	.402	.700	16	45	108	.738
2 Luis Arraez 2B · L	.326	.361	.450	.811	5	47	21	.734
3 Alec Bohm 3B · R	.227	.284	.362	.646	13	62	66	.730
4 Bryce Harper 1B · L	.255	.364	.500	.864	24	68	103	.759
5 Brandon Marsh LF · L	.280	.318	.450	.768	16	51	111	.741
6 Kyle Schwarber DH · L	.243	.363	.521	.884	33	64	170	.764
7 Bryson Stott 2B · L	.260	.329	.417	.746	8	52	75	.722
8 Justin Crawford CF · L	.264	.308	.344	.652	2	29	65	.750
9 J.T. Realmuto C · R	.226	.304	.360	.664	8	38	67	.710

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

PHI starter vs Blue Jays lineup

Jesús Luzardo (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .312

1 EC Ernie Clement SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
5 GS George Springer RHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Sweeper (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (19% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Jesús Luzardo vs Blue Jays: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · TOR

John Schneider

Lineup 1.6 R Bunts 3.2 R IBBs 3.5 R

HOME · PHI

Don Mattingly

Lineup 2.1 R Bunts 0.9 R IBBs 1.1 R Interim

Bullpen availability

AWAY · TOR

Available 5
Limited 2
Rest required 0
Inactive 1

HOME · PHI

Available 7
Limited 1
Rest required 0
Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · TOR

6-4 L1 +1 run diff

LWLWLWWWLW

HOME · PHI

5-5 W1 +13 run diff

WLWWWWLLLL

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Blue Jays and Phillies staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.