Cincinnati Reds at Washington Nationals
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Sal Stewart 1B · R | .257 | .336 | .484 | .820 | 25 | 87 | 109 | .753 |
| 2 Elly De La Cruz SS · S | .276 | .356 | .501 | .857 | 19 | 53 | 115 | .761 |
| 3 JJ Bleday LF · L | .230 | .344 | .470 | .814 | 20 | 47 | 77 | .725 |
| 4 Eugenio Suárez DH · R | .202 | .281 | .387 | .668 | 14 | 40 | 123 | .728 |
| 5 Matt McLain 2B · R | .190 | .289 | .331 | .620 | 9 | 27 | 91 | .729 |
| 6 Tyler Stephenson C · R | .252 | .337 | .420 | .757 | 10 | 33 | 79 | .726 |
| 7 TJ Friedl CF · L | .165 | .251 | .248 | .499 | 3 | 11 | 54 | .728 |
| 8 Noelvi Marte RF · R | .197 | .239 | .341 | .580 | 6 | 15 | 45 | .737 |
| 9 Dane Myers CF · R | .263 | .362 | .363 | .725 | 3 | 17 | 54 | .708 |
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Daylen Lile LF · L | .242 | .294 | .411 | .705 | 14 | 56 | 89 | .759 |
| 2 CJ Abrams SS · L | .287 | .362 | .551 | .913 | 28 | 88 | 110 | .743 |
| 3 Nasim Nuñez 2B · S | .233 | .317 | .272 | .589 | 1 | 33 | 79 | .735 |
| 4 Jacob Young CF · R | .242 | .310 | .397 | .707 | 9 | 39 | 60 | .707 |
| 5 Keibert Ruiz C · S | .270 | .307 | .439 | .746 | 7 | 38 | 31 | .706 |
| 6 Dylan Crews RF · R | .221 | .300 | .371 | .671 | 9 | 25 | 62 | .731 |
| 7 Jorbit Vivas 3B · L | .236 | .324 | .327 | .651 | 3 | 18 | 34 | .733 |
| 8 José Tena DH · L | .235 | .304 | .382 | .686 | 5 | 20 | 66 | .731 |
| 9 Brady House 3B · R | .228 | .282 | .401 | .683 | 8 | 27 | 62 | .733 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JY Jacob Young RHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .274
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DC Dylan Crews RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JT José Tena LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 BH Brady House RHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
- Four-Seam Fastball (57% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (36% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 577 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 MM Matt McLain RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 DM Dane Myers RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (27% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Reds and Nationals staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.