Colorado Rockies at St. Louis Cardinals
Probable starters
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 TJ Rumfield 1B · L | .291 | .370 | .460 | .830 | 13 | 58 | 66 | .733 |
| 2 Hunter Goodman C · R | .254 | .323 | .547 | .870 | 33 | 66 | 147 | .747 |
| 3 Ezequiel Tovar SS · R | .207 | .250 | .335 | .585 | 9 | 37 | 99 | .738 |
| 4 Jake McCarthy CF · L | .293 | .331 | .490 | .821 | 11 | 64 | 67 | .712 |
| 5 Willi Castro 2B · S | .264 | .334 | .426 | .760 | 13 | 48 | 106 | .717 |
| 6 Kyle Karros 3B · R | .271 | .368 | .428 | .796 | 9 | 41 | 79 | .735 |
| 7 Troy Johnston RF · L | .281 | .347 | .388 | .735 | 3 | 41 | 62 | .721 |
| 8 Mickey Moniak LF · L | .278 | .318 | .571 | .889 | 19 | 52 | 72 | .734 |
| 9 Tyler Freeman RF · R | .250 | .320 | .317 | .637 | 3 | 23 | 34 | .720 |
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Alec Burleson 1B · L | .287 | .351 | .480 | .831 | 18 | 77 | 76 | .739 |
| 2 Jordan Walker RF · R | .285 | .343 | .491 | .834 | 22 | 81 | 119 | .728 |
| 3 Iván Herrera DH · R | .239 | .355 | .373 | .728 | 12 | 47 | 89 | .752 |
| 4 JJ Wetherholt 2B · L | .248 | .351 | .388 | .739 | 16 | 43 | 76 | .746 |
| 5 Masyn Winn SS · R | .238 | .317 | .317 | .634 | 4 | 45 | 88 | .732 |
| 6 Nathan Church CF · L | .236 | .283 | .366 | .649 | 9 | 35 | 63 | .729 |
| 7 José Fermín LF · R | .237 | .297 | .355 | .652 | 5 | 24 | 30 | .724 |
| 8 Pedro Pagés C · R | .206 | .251 | .323 | .574 | 4 | 11 | 45 | .716 |
| 9 Blaze Jordan 3B · R | .252 | .271 | .370 | .641 | 1 | 22 | 20 | .746 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 486 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 NC Nathan Church LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JF José Fermín RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .282
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
- Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (9% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (9% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 WC Willi Castro SH .301
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (18% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
Bullpen availability
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Rockies and Cardinals staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.