PREVIEW Starts 9:45 PM ET · T-Mobile Park
August 7, 2026 · AL West

Tampa Bay Rays at Seattle Mariners

August 7, 20269:45 PM ETT-Mobile Park
AWAY
Tampa Bay Rays
68-46
—
@
HOME
Seattle Mariners
56-60
—

Probable starters

AWAY · TB
Drew Rasmussen
Drew Rasmussen
HOME · SEA
Logan Gilbert
Logan Gilbert

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · TB Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Junior Caminero 3B · R .284 .373 .559 .932 33 71 91 .767
2 Yandy Díaz DH · R .300 .373 .458 .831 15 64 72 .747
3 Jonathan Aranda 1B · L .285 .374 .432 .806 14 71 111 .743
4 Chandler Simpson LF · L .299 .329 .357 .686 0 23 39 .731
5 Liam Hicks C · L .282 .364 .439 .803 15 66 39 .726
6 Cedric Mullins CF · L .204 .280 .357 .637 13 35 79 .711
7 Taylor Walls SS · S .214 .305 .280 .585 0 23 81 .694
8 Ben Williamson 2B · R .247 .309 .332 .641 3 26 51 .727
9 Nick Fortes C · R .276 .317 .383 .700 4 28 32 .697
HOME · SEA Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Cole Young 2B · L .263 .323 .412 .735 14 51 76 .737
2 Josh Naylor 1B · L .260 .323 .355 .678 8 40 58 .747
3 Taylor Ward LF · R .245 .380 .343 .723 7 30 106 .729
4 Julio Rodríguez CF · R .258 .322 .421 .743 17 50 91 .760
5 Randy Arozarena LF · R .285 .379 .456 .835 14 49 96 .728
6 Cal Raleigh C · S .162 .266 .308 .574 12 43 114 .759
7 Dominic Canzone DH · L .254 .331 .502 .833 18 49 68 .728
8 Colt Emerson SS · L .201 .260 .358 .618 8 23 72 .755
9 Victor Robles RF · R .241 .288 .267 .555 0 5 21 .724

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

TB starter vs Mariners lineup

Drew Rasmussen (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .327
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .408 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .366
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CE Colt Emerson LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Emerson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (31% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Drew Rasmussen vs Mariners: full season matchup breakdown →
SEA starter vs Rays lineup

Logan Gilbert (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .398 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .268
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .263
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 BW Ben Williamson RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Williamson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NF Nick Fortes RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Fortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (37% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (30% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Logan Gilbert vs Rays: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · TB
Kevin Cash
Kevin Cash
Lineup 2.2 R Bunts 3.7 R IBBs 3.5 R
HOME · SEA
Dan Wilson
Dan Wilson
Lineup 2.6 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 2.0 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · TB
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · SEA
  • Available 6
  • Limited 2
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · TB
7-3 W3 +0 run diff
WWWLWLWWLW
HOME · SEA
4-6 L1 -26 run diff
LWLWWLLLWL

Season series: 2-1 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Rays and Mariners staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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