Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Preview — August 7, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY · LAD

Roki Sasaki

HOME · AZ

Merrill Kelly

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · LAD Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Andy Pages CF · R	.268	.332	.451	.783	18	74	98	.745
2 Freddie Freeman 1B · L	.310	.385	.485	.870	15	54	78	.762
3 Kyle Tucker RF · L	.243	.339	.379	.718	10	52	84	.767
4 Max Muncy 3B · L	.253	.347	.494	.841	22	52	99	.733
5 Mookie Betts SS · R	.233	.288	.397	.685	13	36	39	.749
6 Teoscar Hernández LF · R	.255	.322	.415	.737	11	41	83	.728
7 Miguel Rojas 2B · R	.283	.322	.403	.725	3	18	19	.697
8 Hunter Feduccia C · L	.229	.300	.333	.633	2	12	44	.713
9 Tommy Edman 2B · S	.289	.364	.438	.802	3	21	30	.708

HOME · AZ Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Ketel Marte 2B · S	.248	.306	.439	.745	19	62	74	.766
2 Corbin Carroll RF · L	.245	.340	.470	.810	16	53	110	.776
3 Geraldo Perdomo SS · S	.242	.356	.364	.720	9	41	61	.754
4 Nolan Arenado 3B · R	.241	.322	.424	.746	16	53	88	.706
5 Ildemaro Vargas 1B · S	.274	.318	.413	.731	7	55	34	.696
6 Gabriel Moreno C · R	.302	.384	.443	.827	8	50	54	.741
7 Lars Nootbaar LF · L	.232	.337	.345	.682	3	17	41	.728
8 Ryan Waldschmidt CF · R	.293	.333	.402	.735	1	13	56	.746
9 Tim Tawa LF · R	.232	.282	.400	.682	6	26	38	.722

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

LAD starter vs Diamondbacks lineup

Roki Sasaki (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .317

1 KM Ketel Marte SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 597 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 RW Ryan Waldschmidt RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Waldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 TT Tim Tawa RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tim Tawa
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (34% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.

Roki Sasaki vs Diamondbacks: full season matchup breakdown →

AZ starter vs Dodgers lineup

Merrill Kelly (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .317

1 AP Andy Pages RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
2 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
3 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
4 MM Max Muncy LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .218 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
7 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
8 HF Hunter Feduccia LHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Feduccia
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
9 TE Tommy Edman SH .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Changeup (26% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (25% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (11% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (9% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Merrill Kelly vs Dodgers: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · LAD

Dave Roberts

Lineup 1.4 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 4.0 R

HOME · AZ

Torey Lovullo

Lineup 3.6 R Bunts 3.8 R IBBs 2.8 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · LAD

Available 8
Limited 0
Rest required 0
Inactive 0

HOME · AZ

Available 6
Limited 1
Rest required 1
Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · LAD

2-8 L6 -20 run diff

LLLLLLWWLL

HOME · AZ

6-4 L1 +6 run diff

LWLWLWWWWL

Season series: 0-3 with LAD listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Dodgers and Diamondbacks staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.