Atlanta Braves at New York Yankees Preview — August 7, 2026

Probable starters

AWAY · ATL

Tyler Mahle

HOME · NYY

Max Fried

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · ATL Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Matt Olson 1B · L	.269	.347	.549	.896	32	70	123	.764
2 Ozzie Albies 2B · S	.261	.312	.436	.748	19	63	71	.723
3 Michael Harris II CF · L	.293	.322	.500	.822	20	66	83	.737
4 Mauricio Dubón LF · R	.269	.318	.404	.722	10	58	59	.701
5 Austin Riley 3B · R	.221	.296	.362	.658	13	56	142	.741
6 Drake Baldwin C · L	.271	.361	.458	.819	20	59	86	.749
7 Lane Thomas CF · R	.229	.324	.390	.714	10	38	80	.716
8 Mike Yastrzemski LF · L	.228	.311	.378	.689	8	32	72	.714
9 Dominic Smith DH · L	.268	.323	.402	.725	8	43	36	.713

HOME · NYY Projected · top 9 by AB

BATTER	2026 SEASON							PROJ OPS
BATTER	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HR	RBI	K	PROJ OPS
1 Ben Rice 1B · L	.260	.355	.550	.905	31	73	116	.741
2 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B · L	.217	.295	.399	.694	17	47	131	.742
3 Luis García Jr. 1B · L	.283	.313	.560	.873	24	78	61	.733
4 Trent Grisham CF · L	.211	.310	.379	.689	12	43	61	.727
5 José Caballero SS · R	.245	.298	.396	.694	12	41	81	.707
6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B · R	.247	.307	.453	.760	16	44	77	.709
7 Heliot Ramos LF · R	.261	.303	.420	.723	9	34	84	.740
8 Ryan McMahon 3B · L	.212	.276	.372	.648	10	27	82	.715
9 Austin Wells C · L	.169	.268	.289	.557	8	16	68	.727

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

ATL starter vs Yankees lineup

Tyler Mahle (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .318

1 BR Ben Rice LHB .361
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .405 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
6 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
9 AW Austin Wells LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
- Four-Seam Fastball (48% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 332 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (26% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (10% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.

Tyler Mahle vs Yankees: full season matchup breakdown →

NYY starter vs Braves lineup

Max Fried (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .317

1 MO Matt Olson LHB .344
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .292
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .248 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
5 AR Austin Riley RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
- Cutter (23% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (18% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (17% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (17% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.

Max Fried vs Braves: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · ATL

Walt Weiss

Lineup 3.3 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 2.2 R

HOME · NYY

Aaron Boone

Lineup 2.9 R Bunts 0.3 R IBBs 2.6 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · ATL

Available 5
Limited 2
Rest required 1
Inactive 0

HOME · NYY

Available 7
Limited 0
Rest required 0
Inactive 1

Recent form

AWAY · ATL

8-1 W7 +25 run diff

WWWWWWWLW?

HOME · NYY

5-5 L1 -3 run diff

LWLWLWLLWW

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Braves and Yankees staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.