August 6, 2026 · NL Cent
Toronto Blue Jays at Chicago Cubs
@
Probable starters
AWAY · TOR
HOME · CHC
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · TOR Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Ernie Clement 2B · R | .285 | .310 | .415 | .725 | 9 | 38 | 43 | .715 |
| 2 Kazuma Okamoto 3B · R | .229 | .302 | .440 | .742 | 24 | 70 | 142 | .718 |
| 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B · R | .259 | .338 | .349 | .687 | 6 | 44 | 62 | .779 |
| 4 Andrés Giménez SS · L | .229 | .273 | .345 | .618 | 7 | 41 | 69 | .708 |
| 5 George Springer DH · R | .238 | .321 | .404 | .725 | 12 | 36 | 68 | .730 |
| 6 Nathan Lukes RF · L | .266 | .323 | .367 | .690 | 5 | 18 | 42 | .716 |
| 7 Jesús Sánchez RF · L | .270 | .313 | .438 | .751 | 8 | 32 | 55 | .726 |
| 8 Brandon Valenzuela C · S | .235 | .311 | .396 | .707 | 8 | 21 | 56 | .737 |
| 9 Myles Straw RF · R | .231 | .284 | .349 | .633 | 3 | 18 | 25 | .702 |
HOME · CHC Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Nico Hoerner 2B · R | .262 | .323 | .367 | .690 | 7 | 54 | 44 | .723 |
| 2 Alex Bregman 3B · R | .245 | .337 | .376 | .713 | 11 | 48 | 82 | .738 |
| 3 Michael Busch 1B · L | .243 | .355 | .394 | .749 | 14 | 63 | 115 | .748 |
| 4 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF · L | .288 | .386 | .552 | .938 | 26 | 69 | 134 | .744 |
| 5 Ian Happ LF · S | .213 | .326 | .408 | .734 | 18 | 48 | 147 | .735 |
| 6 Dansby Swanson SS · R | .220 | .296 | .410 | .706 | 17 | 63 | 99 | .713 |
| 7 Seiya Suzuki RF · R | .273 | .366 | .481 | .847 | 19 | 64 | 110 | .749 |
| 8 Carson Kelly C · R | .266 | .353 | .382 | .735 | 7 | 40 | 50 | .712 |
| 9 Michael Conforto DH · L | .231 | .325 | .456 | .781 | 9 | 24 | 57 | .706 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 533 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 MB Michael Busch LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IH Ian Happ SH .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .314
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
- Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (37% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (9% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (4% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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1 EC Ernie Clement SH .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .356
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 426 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 GS George Springer RHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 MS Myles Straw RHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
- Sinker (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Four-Seam Fastball (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (21% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · TOR
Lineup 1.6 R
Bunts 3.2 R
IBBs 3.5 R
HOME · CHC
Lineup 3.3 R
Bunts 0.7 R
IBBs 0.9 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · TOR
- Available 4
- Limited 2
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 1
HOME · CHC
- Available 4
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · TOR
6-4
W1
-3 run diff
WLWLWWWLWL
HOME · CHC
7-3
W3
+23 run diff
WWWLWLWLWW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Blue Jays and Cubs staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.