July 18, 2026 · AL Cent
Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians
@
Probable starters
AWAY · PIT
HOME · CLE
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Hitter season stats
Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.
AWAY · PIT Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brandon Lowe 2B · L | .246 | .316 | .487 | .803 | 21 | 64 | 107 | .730 |
| 2 Bryan Reynolds LF · S | .283 | .400 | .477 | .877 | 14 | 59 | 94 | .730 |
| 3 Nick Gonzales 3B · R | .308 | .370 | .391 | .761 | 4 | 43 | 66 | .719 |
| 4 Ryan O'Hearn RF · L | .288 | .351 | .487 | .838 | 16 | 63 | 74 | .732 |
| 5 Jake Mangum CF · S | .310 | .364 | .389 | .753 | 2 | 19 | 42 | .715 |
| 6 Marcell Ozuna DH · R | .205 | .288 | .335 | .623 | 8 | 28 | 77 | .749 |
| 7 Jared Triolo SS · R | .233 | .302 | .306 | .608 | 1 | 16 | 48 | .712 |
| 8 Henry Davis C · R | .166 | .267 | .344 | .611 | 8 | 27 | 38 | .707 |
| 9 Esmerlyn Valdez RF · R | .309 | .371 | .713 | 1.084 | 10 | 27 | 38 | .750 |
HOME · CLE Projected · top 9 by AB
| BATTER | 2026 SEASON | PROJ OPS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | HR | RBI | K | ||
| 1 Brayan Rocchio SS · S | .276 | .343 | .408 | .751 | 8 | 44 | 49 | .717 |
| 2 Chase DeLauter RF · L | .278 | .345 | .448 | .793 | 11 | 46 | 45 | .742 |
| 3 Steven Kwan CF · L | .225 | .332 | .282 | .614 | 1 | 16 | 36 | .728 |
| 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B · L | .215 | .310 | .359 | .669 | 10 | 30 | 96 | .743 |
| 5 Travis Bazzana 2B · L | .238 | .330 | .389 | .719 | 7 | 28 | 61 | .746 |
| 6 Daniel Schneemann CF · L | .209 | .276 | .331 | .607 | 6 | 28 | 76 | .708 |
| 7 Rhys Hoskins 1B · R | .178 | .316 | .364 | .680 | 9 | 31 | 83 | .714 |
| 8 Patrick Bailey C · S | .185 | .240 | .275 | .515 | 3 | 15 | 50 | .704 |
| 9 Austin Hedges C · R | .289 | .348 | .414 | .762 | 3 | 14 | 25 | .683 |
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
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1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .294
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
2 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .322
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 578 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 292 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
-
4 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
6 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
7 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 PB Patrick Bailey SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 AH Austin Hedges RHB .280
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Hedges
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (26% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (25% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 231 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
5 JM Jake Mangum SH .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .287
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HD Henry Davis RHB .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (23% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (18% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (14% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · PIT
Lineup 3.4 R
Bunts 0.6 R
IBBs 2.0 R
HOME · CLE
Lineup 2.2 R
Bunts 2.0 R
IBBs 1.6 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · PIT
- Available 7
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CLE
- Available 7
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
Recent form
AWAY · PIT
6-2
?1
+23 run diff
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HOME · CLE
5-4
?1
+5 run diff
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Season series: 0-0 with PIT listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Pirates and Guardians staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.