PREVIEW Starts 4:05 PM ET · PNC Park
July 11, 2026 · NL Cent

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

July 11, 20264:05 PM ETPNC ParkGame 2 of doubleheader
AWAY
Milwaukee Brewers
59-34
—
@
HOME
Pittsburgh Pirates
47-47
—

Probable starters

AWAY · MIL
Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
HOME · PIT
Bubba Chandler
Bubba Chandler

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Hitter season stats

Season-to-date lines for each hitter in the projected lineup, with a Marcel projection (Proj OPS). Season columns are 2026 to date; Proj is a forward-looking estimate, not a result.

AWAY · MIL Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Brice Turang 2B · L .269 .361 .462 .823 13 56 102 .730
2 William Contreras C · R .281 .344 .396 .740 9 52 50 .751
3 Jake Bauers 1B · L .268 .368 .505 .873 17 57 86 .714
4 Sal Frelick RF · L .240 .306 .326 .632 3 32 29 .731
5 Garrett Mitchell CF · L .274 .364 .459 .823 8 43 99 .731
6 Jackson Chourio LF · R .284 .338 .504 .842 13 36 65 .766
7 Christian Yelich DH · L .242 .326 .381 .707 6 31 74 .739
8 Joey Ortiz SS · R .223 .292 .302 .594 3 22 41 .711
9 Andrew Vaughn 1B · R .319 .407 .486 .893 2 24 19 .723
HOME · PIT Projected · top 9 by AB
BATTER 2026 SEASON PROJ OPS
AVGOBPSLGOPSHRRBIK
1 Brandon Lowe 2B · L .243 .315 .490 .805 21 64 102 .730
2 Bryan Reynolds LF · S .281 .395 .477 .872 14 57 91 .730
3 Nick Gonzales 3B · R .310 .372 .393 .765 4 41 64 .719
4 Ryan O'Hearn RF · L .289 .346 .490 .836 16 61 71 .732
5 Jake Mangum CF · S .311 .361 .383 .744 2 18 42 .715
6 Marcell Ozuna DH · R .204 .289 .324 .613 7 26 74 .749
7 Jared Triolo SS · R .232 .305 .304 .609 1 14 47 .712
8 Henry Davis C · R .153 .251 .318 .569 7 24 37 .707
9 Esmerlyn Valdez RF · R .293 .359 .634 .993 7 18 33 .750

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

MIL starter vs Pirates lineup

Shane Drohan (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Shane Drohan vs Pirates: full season matchup breakdown →
PIT starter vs Brewers lineup

Bubba Chandler (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 510 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 466 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SF Sal Frelick LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Frelick
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC Jackson Chourio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CY Christian Yelich LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (49% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (18% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (17% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (6% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Bubba Chandler vs Brewers: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · MIL
Pat Murphy
Pat Murphy
Lineup 1.7 R Bunts 3.6 R IBBs 4.8 R
HOME · PIT
Don Kelly
Don Kelly
Lineup 3.4 R Bunts 0.6 R IBBs 2.0 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · MIL
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · PIT
  • Available 5
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 2

Recent form

AWAY · MIL
6-3 ?1 +8 run diff
?WLWWWWLWL
HOME · PIT
4-5 ?1 +1 run diff
?LLWWWLWLL

Season series: 0-0 with MIL listed first across 1 prior meeting.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Brewers and Pirates staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

← All matchups