June 27, 2026 · NL Cent
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
@
Probable starters
AWAY
TBD
HOME · MIL
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
MIL starter vs Cubs lineup
Kyle Harrison (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .323
-
1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
4 IH Ian Happ SH .315
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 541 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
5 MB Michael Busch LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
6 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
7 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 403 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
-
8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
9 MS Matt Shaw RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Shaw
- Four-Seam Fastball (58% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Changeup (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (2% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · CHC
Lineup 2.6 R
Bunts 0.5 R
IBBs 0.6 R
HOME · MIL
Lineup 1.5 R
Bunts 2.8 R
IBBs 4.1 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · CHC
- Available 8
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · MIL
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · CHC
5-3
?2
+17 run diff
??LWWLWLWW
HOME · MIL
6-4
W2
+17 run diff
WWLLLWWWLW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Cubs and Brewers staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.