June 26, 2026 · AL Cent
Seattle Mariners at Cleveland Guardians
@
Probable starters
AWAY
TBD
HOME · CLE
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
CLE starter vs Mariners lineup
Joey Cantillo (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .330
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1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CY Cole Young LHB .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
3 JN Josh Naylor LHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .336
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 LR Luke Raley LHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Raley
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 CR Cal Raleigh SH .335
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 536 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .348
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 RR Rob Refsnyder RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rob Refsnyder
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 MG Mitch Garver RHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mitch Garver
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (8% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · SEA
Lineup 2.3 R
Bunts 0.9 R
IBBs 1.3 R
HOME · CLE
Lineup 2.0 R
Bunts 1.1 R
IBBs 1.4 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · SEA
- Available 7
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
HOME · CLE
- Available 6
- Limited 2
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · SEA
4-6
W1
-11 run diff
WLLWLWLLWL
HOME · CLE
4-5
L2
-2 run diff
LLWLWLL?WW
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Mariners and Guardians staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.