June 25, 2026 · NL East
Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals
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Probable starters
AWAY · PHI
HOME · WSH
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
PHI starter vs Nationals lineup
Cristopher Sánchez (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .307
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1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
2 JW James Wood LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Wood
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CA CJ Abrams LHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 JY Jacob Young RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .284
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CM Curtis Mead RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
-
8 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .291
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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9 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
- Sinker (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (37% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (17% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
WSH starter vs Phillies lineup
Cade Cavalli (RHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .325
-
1 TT Trea Turner RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .363
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 527 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .438 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .362
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .321
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .319
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
- Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (17% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Manager comparison
AWAY · PHI
Lineup 1.1 R
Bunts 0.4 R
IBBs 0.1 R
Interim
HOME · WSH
Lineup 2.6 R
Bunts 2.3 R
IBBs 1.9 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · PHI
- Available 4
- Limited 3
- Rest required 1
- Inactive 1
HOME · WSH
- Available 9
- Limited 0
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · PHI
5-5
L1
+7 run diff
LWWLLWWLWL
HOME · WSH
6-4
W1
+8 run diff
WLWLLWWWWL
Season series: 0-1 with PHI listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Phillies and Nationals staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.