June 24, 2026 · NL Cent
Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals
@
Probable starters
AWAY
TBD
HOME · STL
Lineups
Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.
Pitcher vs. lineup projection
Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.
STL starter vs Diamondbacks lineup
Matthew Liberatore (LHP)
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 KM Ketel Marte SH .368
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .304
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .290
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .278
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .240 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (12% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Manager comparison
AWAY · AZ
Lineup 3.0 R
Bunts 2.9 R
IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · STL
Lineup 2.1 R
Bunts 2.3 R
IBBs 1.2 R
Bullpen availability
AWAY · AZ
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 1
HOME · STL
- Available 7
- Limited 1
- Rest required 0
- Inactive 0
Recent form
AWAY · AZ
5-5
L3
-2 run diff
LLLWWLWWLW
HOME · STL
5-5
W2
-6 run diff
WWLLLWWLWL
Season series: 0-1 with AZ listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Pitching & bullpen preview
Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Diamondbacks and Cardinals staffs going in.
Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.