PREVIEW Starts 9:38 PM ET · Angel Stadium
June 23, 2026 · AL West

Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels

June 23, 20269:38 PM ETAngel Stadium
AWAY
Baltimore Orioles
38-42
—
@
HOME
Los Angeles Angels
32-48
—

Probable starters

AWAY · BAL
Shane Baz
Shane Baz
HOME · LAA
Ryan Johnson
Ryan Johnson

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

BAL starter vs Angels lineup

Shane Baz (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 ZN Zach Neto RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 NS Nolan Schanuel SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Schanuel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LO Logan O'Hoppe RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Logan O'Hoppe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TH Tyler Heineman SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Heineman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DW Donovan Walton LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Shane Baz vs Angels: full season matchup breakdown →
LAA starter vs Orioles lineup

Ryan Johnson (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 TW Taylor Ward RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 327 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LT Leody Taveras SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Coby Mayo RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BA Blaze Alexander RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Alexander
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CC Colton Cowser LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Cutter (35% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (25% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (19% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (18% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Ryan Johnson vs Orioles: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · BAL
Craig Albernaz
Craig Albernaz
Lineup 1.7 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 2.3 R
HOME · LAA
Kurt Suzuki
Kurt Suzuki
Lineup 1.8 R Bunts 1.2 R IBBs 3.4 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · BAL
  • Available 8
  • Limited 0
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · LAA
  • Available 6
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 1
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · BAL
5-5 W3 +8 run diff
WWWLLWLLLW
HOME · LAA
4-6 L1 +0 run diff
LWWLLLWLLW

Season series: 1-0 with BAL listed first across 1 prior meeting.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Orioles and Angels staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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