PREVIEW Starts 7:40 PM ET · Rate Field
June 23, 2026 · AL Cent

Cleveland Guardians at Chicago White Sox

June 23, 20267:40 PM ETRate Field
AWAY
Cleveland Guardians
41-38
—
@
HOME
Chicago White Sox
40-37
—

Probable starters

AWAY · CLE
Parker Messick
Parker Messick
HOME · CWS
Sean Burke
Sean Burke

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

CLE starter vs White Sox lineup

Parker Messick (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DR Drew Romo SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (24% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Parker Messick vs White Sox: full season matchup breakdown →
CWS starter vs Guardians lineup

Sean Burke (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 346 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KM Kyle Manzardo LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Manzardo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DS Daniel Schneemann LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daniel Schneemann
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RH Rhys Hoskins RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Rhys Hoskins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over limited BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PB Patrick Bailey SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DF David Fry SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Fry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AH Austin Hedges RHB .267
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Hedges
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (22% usage) projects to .236 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (9% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Sean Burke vs Guardians: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · CLE
Stephen Vogt
Stephen Vogt
Lineup 2.0 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 1.4 R
HOME · CWS
Will Venable
Will Venable
Lineup 4.2 R Bunts 2.9 R IBBs 1.4 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · CLE
  • Available 6
  • Limited 2
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0
HOME · CWS
  • Available 6
  • Limited 3
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · CLE
4-5 L2 -2 run diff
LLWLWLL?WW
HOME · CWS
4-6 W1 -13 run diff
WLLLWLLWLW

Season series: 0-1 with CLE listed first across 1 prior meeting.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Guardians and White Sox staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

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