PREVIEW Starts 7:45 PM ET · Busch Stadium
June 23, 2026 · NL Cent

Arizona Diamondbacks at St. Louis Cardinals

June 23, 20267:45 PM ETBusch Stadium
AWAY
Arizona Diamondbacks
39-39
—
@
HOME
St. Louis Cardinals
42-34
—

Probable starters

AWAY · AZ
Eduardo Rodriguez
Eduardo Rodriguez
HOME · STL
Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy

Lineups

Lineups are usually announced ~90 minutes before first pitch. Check back soon.

Pitcher vs. lineup projection

Projected expected wOBA for each probable starter against the opposing lineup, by batting order. A season-to-date matchup read — forward-looking, not a result.

AZ starter vs Cardinals lineup

Eduardo Rodriguez (LHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 IH Iván Herrera RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JF José Fermín RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LN Lars Nootbaar LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lars Nootbaar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 356 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (23% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (8% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (7% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Eduardo Rodriguez vs Cardinals: full season matchup breakdown →
STL starter vs Diamondbacks lineup

Kyle Leahy (RHP)

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 KM Ketel Marte SH .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ketel Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CC Corbin Carroll LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corbin Carroll
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 GP Geraldo Perdomo SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Geraldo Perdomo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 NA Nolan Arenado RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Arenado
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IV Ildemaro Vargas SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ildemaro Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 GM Gabriel Moreno RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gabriel Moreno
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 AD Adrian Del Castillo LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adrian Del Castillo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LG Lourdes Gurriel Jr. RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Jorge Barrosa SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Barrosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .239 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (19% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (16% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (11% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Kyle Leahy vs Diamondbacks: full season matchup breakdown →

Manager comparison

AWAY · AZ
Torey Lovullo
Torey Lovullo
Lineup 3.0 R Bunts 2.9 R IBBs 1.8 R
HOME · STL
Oliver Marmol
Oliver Marmol
Lineup 2.1 R Bunts 2.3 R IBBs 1.2 R

Bullpen availability

AWAY · AZ
  • Available 7
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 1
HOME · STL
  • Available 7
  • Limited 1
  • Rest required 0
  • Inactive 0

Recent form

AWAY · AZ
5-5 L3 -2 run diff
LLLWWLWWLW
HOME · STL
5-5 W2 -6 run diff
WWLLLWWLWL

Season series: 0-1 with AZ listed first across 1 prior meeting.

Pitching & bullpen preview

Probable starters and each bullpen's availability load in the sections above — the Diamondbacks and Cardinals staffs going in.

Once the game ends, a full pitching and bullpen breakdown appears here: starter lines, the relief sequence and each arm's role, pitch counts, and where the game turned.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. The pitching analysis describes how the game was pitched — the starter's line, the bullpen sequence and each arm's role (opener, bulk, setup, closer), pitch counts as a fatigue signal, and the leverage context where the game turned. Reliever roles are inferred from how the manager used each arm up to that date. It describes structure and constraints; it does not grade the manager.

Read the full methodology.

← All matchups