Colorado Rockies vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jordan Beck LF
- 2 Tyler Freeman RF
- 3 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 4 Hunter Goodman C
- 5 Brenton Doyle CF
- 6 Willi Castro 2B
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Brett Sullivan DH
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 J.T. Realmuto C
- 7 Bryson Stott 2B
- 8 Edmundo Sosa 3B
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-0 with COL listed first across 1 prior meeting.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.66 vs actual lineup 4.69
- Player execution +4.31 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.69 projection by 4.31 (scored 9)
- Game variance +4.34 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.57 vs actual lineup 3.53
- Player execution +3.47 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.53 projection by 3.47 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Crawford HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.7 – 3.6 — actual was 9 – 7.
-
Brandon Marsh extends hit streak to 10 gamesBrandon Marsh (PHI) has a hit in 10 consecutive games — past the 10-game watermark.
-
Don Mattingly (PHI) has run 29 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 97% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
-
Warren Schaeffer (COL) has run 28 distinct starting lineups across 30 games this season — that's 93% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 14 for the same span.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.