Minnesota Twins vs Washington Nationals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Brooks Lee SS
- 3 Trevor Larnach LF
- 4 Josh Bell DH
- 5 Kody Clemens 1B
- 6 Victor Caratini C
- 7 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 8 Matt Wallner RF
- 9 Tristan Gray 3B
- 1 James Wood RF
- 2 Daylen Lile LF
- 3 Curtis Mead 1B
- 4 CJ Abrams SS
- 5 Brady House 3B
- 6 José Tena DH
- 7 Jacob Young CF
- 8 Drew Millas C
- 9 Nasim Nuñez 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with MIN listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.75 vs actual lineup 4.76
- Player execution −2.76 R/G Players fell 2.76 short of the lineup's 4.76 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.75 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Wallner HR from the 8-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.13 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.19 vs actual lineup 4.06
- Player execution +10.94 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.06 projection by 10.94 (scored 15)
- Game variance +10.81 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Millas HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.8 – 4.2 — actual was 2 – 15.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.