New York Mets vs Colorado Rockies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Juan Soto LF
- 2 Bo Bichette SS
- 3 MJ Melendez RF
- 4 Mark Vientos 1B
- 5 Brett Baty 3B
- 6 Marcus Semien 2B
- 7 Carson Benge CF
- 8 Francisco Alvarez DH
- 9 Luis Torrens C
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak DH
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 TJ Rumfield 1B
- 5 Tyler Freeman RF
- 6 Troy Johnston LF
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Jake McCarthy CF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade D+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-4 with NYM listed first across 8 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.88 vs actual lineup 4.91
- Player execution +5.09 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.91 projection by 5.09 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.12 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Vientos 0-for-4 batting 4th
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.46 vs actual lineup 3.40
- Player execution +1.60 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.40 projection by 1.60 (scored 5)
- Game variance +1.54 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
McCarthy HR from the 9-hole
Optimal lineups projected 4.9 – 3.5 — actual was 10 – 5.
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Mickey Moniak reaches base in 18 consecutive gamesMickey Moniak (COL) has reached base safely in 18 straight games — past the 15-game watermark.
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Mickey Moniak extends hit streak to 18 gamesMickey Moniak (COL) has a hit in 18 consecutive games — past the 15-game watermark.
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Carlos Mendoza (NYM) has run 27 distinct starting lineups across 29 games this season — that's 93% turnover game-to-game. Most managers stay below 13 for the same span.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.