Boston Red Sox vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Jarren Duran LF
- 2 Willson Contreras 1B
- 3 Wilyer Abreu RF
- 4 Trevor Story SS
- 5 Ceddanne Rafaela CF
- 6 Andruw Monasterio DH
- 7 Caleb Durbin 3B
- 8 Connor Wong C
- 9 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2B
- 1 Matt Vierling CF
- 2 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 3 Jahmai Jones DH
- 4 Dillon Dingler C
- 5 Riley Greene LF
- 6 Wenceel Pérez RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Zach McKinstry 3B
- 9 Hao-Yu Lee 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| DET | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 5-2 with BOS listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.18 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.38 vs actual lineup 4.20
- Player execution +5.80 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.20 projection by 5.80 (scored 10)
- Game variance +5.62 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Duran 0-for-5 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.93 vs actual lineup 4.85
- Player execution −1.85 R/G Players fell 1.85 short of the lineup's 4.85 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.93 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
McGonigle 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.4 – 4.9 — actual was 10 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.