Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Yohendrick Pinango LF
- 3 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 4 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 5 Lenyn Sosa 1B
- 6 Daulton Varsho CF
- 7 Ernie Clement 2B
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Junior Caminero 3B
- 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 4 Yandy Díaz DH
- 5 Jake Fraley RF
- 6 Ben Williamson SS
- 7 Cedric Mullins CF
- 8 Hunter Feduccia C
- 9 Richie Palacios 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TB | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with TOR listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.05 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.04 vs actual lineup 3.09
- Player execution −0.09 R/G Players fell 0.09 short of the lineup's 3.09 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.04 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Springer 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.44 vs actual lineup 3.39
- Player execution +0.61 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.39 projection by 0.61 (scored 4)
- Game variance +0.56 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.0 – 3.4 — actual was 3 – 4.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.