Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Gunnar Henderson SS
- 2 Adley Rutschman C
- 3 Dylan Beavers RF
- 4 Pete Alonso 1B
- 5 Samuel Basallo DH
- 6 Leody Taveras CF
- 7 Colton Cowser LF
- 8 Jeremiah Jackson 2B
- 9 Blaze Alexander 3B
- 1 Trent Grisham CF
- 2 Aaron Judge RF
- 3 Cody Bellinger LF
- 4 Jasson Domínguez DH
- 5 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- 6 Paul Goldschmidt 1B
- 7 Austin Wells C
- 8 Ryan McMahon 3B
- 9 José Caballero SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| NYY | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 12 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-4 with BAL listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.54 vs actual lineup 2.53
- Player execution −1.53 R/G Players fell 1.53 short of the lineup's 2.53 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −1.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Alexander 3-for-4 from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.26 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.60 vs actual lineup 4.34
- Player execution +7.66 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.34 projection by 7.66 (scored 12)
- Game variance +7.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 2.5 – 4.6 — actual was 1 – 12.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.