Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Steven Kwan LF
- 2 Daniel Schneemann CF
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Rhys Hoskins 1B
- 5 Travis Bazzana 2B
- 6 David Fry DH
- 7 Angel Martínez RF
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Carter Jensen C
- 6 Lane Thomas CF
- 7 Jac Caglianone RF
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Nick Loftin 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C+ / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-2 with CLE listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.44 vs actual lineup 3.43
- Player execution −1.43 R/G Players fell 1.43 short of the lineup's 3.43 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.44 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Kwan 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.38 vs actual lineup 4.42
- Player execution +1.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.42 projection by 1.58 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.62 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Caglianone HR from the 7-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.4 – 4.4 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.