Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Alec Bohm 3B
- 5 Brandon Marsh RF
- 6 J.T. Realmuto C
- 7 Bryson Stott 2B
- 8 Felix Reyes LF
- 9 Justin Crawford CF
- 1 Otto Lopez SS
- 2 Agustín Ramírez C
- 3 Kyle Stowers RF
- 4 Connor Norby 1B
- 5 Xavier Edwards 2B
- 6 Christopher Morel DH
- 7 Leo Jiménez 3B
- 8 Esteury Ruiz CF
- 9 Javier Sanoja LF
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-1 with PHI listed first across 4 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.51 vs actual lineup 2.51
- Player execution +4.49 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 2.51 projection by 4.49 (scored 7)
- Game variance +4.49 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Stott HR from the 7-hole
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.80
- Player execution −2.80 R/G Players fell 2.80 short of the lineup's 4.80 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.83 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ruiz HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.5 – 4.8 — actual was 7 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.