Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Evan Carter CF
- 2 Corey Seager SS
- 3 Josh Jung 3B
- 4 Joc Pederson DH
- 5 Jake Burger 1B
- 6 Alejandro Osuna LF
- 7 Ezequiel Duran RF
- 8 Josh Smith 2B
- 9 Danny Jansen C
- 1 Kevin McGonigle SS
- 2 Gleyber Torres 2B
- 3 Colt Keith 3B
- 4 Riley Greene LF
- 5 Dillon Dingler C
- 6 Kerry Carpenter RF
- 7 Spencer Torkelson 1B
- 8 Wenceel Pérez CF
- 9 Jace Jung DH
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| DET | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with TEX listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.45 vs actual lineup 3.49
- Player execution −2.49 R/G Players fell 2.49 short of the lineup's 3.49 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.45 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Carter 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.10 vs actual lineup 4.14
- Player execution +0.86 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.14 projection by 0.86 (scored 5)
- Game variance +0.90 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Pérez 2-for-3 from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.5 – 4.1 — actual was 1 – 5.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.