Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago Cubs
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Ketel Marte 2B
- 2 Geraldo Perdomo SS
- 3 Corbin Carroll RF
- 4 Ildemaro Vargas 1B
- 5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
- 6 Nolan Arenado DH
- 7 Jose Fernandez 3B
- 8 James McCann C
- 9 Jorge Barrosa CF
- 1 Michael Busch 1B
- 2 Moisés Ballesteros DH
- 3 Alex Bregman 3B
- 4 Ian Happ LF
- 5 Seiya Suzuki RF
- 6 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 7 Dansby Swanson SS
- 8 Matt Shaw 2B
- 9 Miguel Amaya C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CHC | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with AZ listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.83 vs actual lineup 2.74
- Player execution −2.74 R/G Players fell 2.74 short of the lineup's 2.74 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.83 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Marte 0-for-4 batting 1st
- Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.82 vs actual lineup 4.89
- Player execution −2.89 R/G Players fell 2.89 short of the lineup's 4.89 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −2.82 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ballesteros 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 2.8 – 4.8 — actual was 0 – 2.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.