Kansas City Royals vs Seattle Mariners
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Maikel Garcia 3B
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez C
- 5 Carter Jensen DH
- 6 Jac Caglianone RF
- 7 Isaac Collins LF
- 8 Michael Massey 2B
- 9 Kyle Isbel CF
- 1 J.P. Crawford SS
- 2 Cal Raleigh C
- 3 Julio Rodríguez CF
- 4 Josh Naylor 1B
- 5 Randy Arozarena LF
- 6 Mitch Garver DH
- 7 Cole Young 2B
- 8 Connor Joe RF
- 9 Leo Rivas 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| SEA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-0 with KC listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.31 vs actual lineup 4.32
- Player execution +2.68 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.32 projection by 2.68 (scored 7)
- Game variance +2.69 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.89 vs actual lineup 4.86
- Player execution +1.14 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.86 projection by 1.14 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.11 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Raleigh 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 4.9 — actual was 7 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.