ARCHIVE May 1, 2026
May 1, 2026 · AL West

Cleveland Guardians vs Oakland Athletics

May 1, 2026Sutter Health ParkPartly Cloudy 76°F · 8 mph, Out To LF
AWAY
Cleveland Guardians
17-16
8
vs
HOME
Oakland Athletics
17-15
5

Starting pitchers

AWAY · CLE
Joey Cantillo
Joey Cantillo
IP 4
HOME · ATH
J.T. Ginn
J.T. Ginn
IP 4.1

Lineups

AWAY · CLE
  1. 1 Steven Kwan LF
  2. 2 Chase DeLauter RF
  3. 3 José Ramírez 3B
  4. 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
  5. 5 Rhys Hoskins DH
  6. 6 Daniel Schneemann CF
  7. 7 Travis Bazzana 2B
  8. 8 Bo Naylor C
  9. 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
HOME · ATH
  1. 1 Jacob Wilson SS
  2. 2 Shea Langeliers C
  3. 3 Nick Kurtz 1B
  4. 4 Brent Rooker DH
  5. 5 Darell Hernaiz 3B
  6. 6 Tyler Soderstrom LF
  7. 7 Colby Thomas RF
  8. 8 Zack Gelof CF
  9. 9 Jeff McNeil 2B

Box score

  123456789 R
CLE 020030300 8
ATH 200200100 5

Manager comparison

Both managers grade C+ / C- entering this matchup.

AWAY · CLE
Stephen Vogt
C+ Lineup 1.5 R Bunts 0.7 R IBBs 0.4 R
HOME · ATH
Mark Kotsay
C- Lineup 2.6 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 1.1 R

Recent form

AWAY · CLE
6-4 W3 +7 run diff
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HOME · ATH
5-5 W2 -1 run diff
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Season series: 2-1 with CLE listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Cleveland Guardians
  • Manager lineup cost −0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.00 vs actual lineup 4.06
  • Player execution +3.94 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.06 projection by 3.94 (scored 8)
  • Game variance +4.00 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Ramírez 0-for-3 batting 3rd

HOME · Oakland Athletics
  • Manager lineup cost −0.08 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.93 vs actual lineup 4.01
  • Player execution +0.99 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.01 projection by 0.99 (scored 5)
  • Game variance +1.07 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Kurtz 0-for-4 batting 3rd

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 4.0 – 3.9 — actual was 8 – 5.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.