San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Heliot Ramos LF
- 2 Matt Chapman 3B
- 3 Luis Arraez 2B
- 4 Casey Schmitt DH
- 5 Rafael Devers 1B
- 6 Willy Adames SS
- 7 Jung Hoo Lee CF
- 8 Jerar Encarnacion RF
- 9 Patrick Bailey C
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Adolis García RF
- 5 Brandon Marsh LF
- 6 Bryson Stott 2B
- 7 Edmundo Sosa 3B
- 8 Justin Crawford CF
- 9 Rafael Marchán C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| PHI | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-3 with SF listed first across 5 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.14 vs actual lineup 3.16
- Player execution −1.16 R/G Players fell 1.16 short of the lineup's 3.16 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.14 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Arraez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.18 vs actual lineup 4.14
- Player execution −1.14 R/G Players fell 1.14 short of the lineup's 4.14 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −1.18 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Turner 0-for-4 batting 1st
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 4.2 — actual was 2 – 3.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.