Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 George Springer DH
- 2 Jesús Sánchez RF
- 3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
- 4 Kazuma Okamoto 3B
- 5 Daulton Varsho CF
- 6 Ernie Clement 2B
- 7 Yohendrick Piñango LF
- 8 Andrés Giménez SS
- 9 Brandon Valenzuela C
- 1 Byron Buxton CF
- 2 Trevor Larnach LF
- 3 Ryan Jeffers C
- 4 Josh Bell DH
- 5 Austin Martin RF
- 6 Kody Clemens 1B
- 7 Luke Keaschall 2B
- 8 Brooks Lee SS
- 9 Royce Lewis 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 3-4 with TOR listed first across 7 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.77 vs actual lineup 3.77
- Player execution −2.77 R/G Players fell 2.77 short of the lineup's 3.77 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −2.77 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Sánchez 0-for-4 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.50 vs actual lineup 3.50
- Player execution +3.50 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.50 projection by 3.50 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.50 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
Optimal lineups projected 3.8 – 3.5 — actual was 1 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.