Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak CF
- 3 Hunter Goodman C
- 4 TJ Rumfield DH
- 5 Tyler Freeman RF
- 6 Troy Johnston 1B
- 7 Kyle Karros 3B
- 8 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 9 Jake McCarthy LF
- 1 Dane Myers CF
- 2 Matt McLain 2B
- 3 Elly De La Cruz SS
- 4 Sal Stewart 1B
- 5 Spencer Steer LF
- 6 Nathaniel Lowe DH
- 7 Tyler Stephenson C
- 8 Rece Hinds RF
- 9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| CIN | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B- entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with COL listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.00 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.08 vs actual lineup 3.08
- Player execution −1.08 R/G Players fell 1.08 short of the lineup's 3.08 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −1.08 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Goodman 0-for-5 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.47 vs actual lineup 3.42
- Player execution +3.58 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.42 projection by 3.58 (scored 7)
- Game variance +3.53 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
McLain 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 3.5 — actual was 2 – 7.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.