Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Chandler Simpson LF
- 2 Junior Caminero 3B
- 3 Jonathan Aranda 1B
- 4 Yandy Díaz DH
- 5 Jake Fraley RF
- 6 Cedric Mullins CF
- 7 Nick Fortes C
- 8 Richie Palacios 2B
- 9 Taylor Walls SS
- 1 Steven Kwan LF
- 2 Chase DeLauter DH
- 3 José Ramírez 3B
- 4 Kyle Manzardo 1B
- 5 Daniel Schneemann CF
- 6 Angel Martínez RF
- 7 Travis Bazzana 2B
- 8 Bo Naylor C
- 9 Brayan Rocchio SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| CLE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade B- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 2-1 with TB listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.37 vs actual lineup 4.28
- Player execution −3.28 R/G Players fell 3.28 short of the lineup's 4.28 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.37 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Lineup spots out of order vs season production
- Manager lineup cost +0.03 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.43 vs actual lineup 2.40
- Player execution −2.40 R/G Players fell 2.40 short of the lineup's 2.40 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Ramírez 0-for-4 batting 3rd
Optimal lineups projected 4.4 – 2.4 — actual was 1 – 0.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.