Colorado Rockies vs New York Mets
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Edouard Julien 2B
- 2 Mickey Moniak RF
- 3 TJ Rumfield DH
- 4 Troy Johnston 1B
- 5 Kyle Karros 3B
- 6 Brett Sullivan C
- 7 Ezequiel Tovar SS
- 8 Jake McCarthy CF
- 9 Jordan Beck LF
- 1 Bo Bichette SS
- 2 Juan Soto DH
- 3 Luis Robert Jr. CF
- 4 Mark Vientos 1B
- 5 Marcus Semien 2B
- 6 Brett Baty 3B
- 7 Tyrone Taylor RF
- 8 Tommy Pham LF
- 9 Luis Torrens C
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| NYM | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / D+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 4-2 with COL listed first across 8 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.07 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.08 vs actual lineup 3.01
- Player execution −0.01 R/G Players fell 0.01 short of the lineup's 3.01 projection (scored 3)
- Game variance −0.08 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Rumfield 0-for-3 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost −0.10 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.46 vs actual lineup 4.56
- Player execution −3.56 R/G Players fell 3.56 short of the lineup's 4.56 projection (scored 1)
- Game variance −3.46 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Soto 0-for-3 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 4.5 — actual was 3 – 1.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.