Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Trea Turner SS
- 2 Kyle Schwarber DH
- 3 Bryce Harper 1B
- 4 Felix Reyes LF
- 5 Adolis García RF
- 6 Alec Bohm 3B
- 7 Edmundo Sosa 2B
- 8 Dylan Moore CF
- 9 Rafael Marchán C
- 1 Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
- 2 Drake Baldwin C
- 3 Matt Olson 1B
- 4 Ozzie Albies 2B
- 5 Michael Harris II DH
- 6 Austin Riley 3B
- 7 Mauricio Dubón LF
- 8 Eli White CF
- 9 Jorge Mateo SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| ATL | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C- / C+ entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-5 with PHI listed first across 6 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.87 vs actual lineup 2.78
- Player execution −0.78 R/G Players fell 0.78 short of the lineup's 2.78 projection (scored 2)
- Game variance −0.87 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Harper 0-for-4 batting 3rd
- Manager lineup cost +0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.83 vs actual lineup 4.81
- Player execution +1.19 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.81 projection by 1.19 (scored 6)
- Game variance +1.17 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
White HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 2.9 – 4.8 — actual was 2 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.