Chicago Cubs vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Nico Hoerner SS
- 2 Alex Bregman 3B
- 3 Ian Happ LF
- 4 Seiya Suzuki RF
- 5 Carson Kelly C
- 6 Michael Busch 1B
- 7 Dansby Swanson DH
- 8 Matt Shaw 2B
- 9 Pete Crow-Armstrong CF
- 1 Shohei Ohtani DH
- 2 Freddie Freeman 1B
- 3 Teoscar Hernández LF
- 4 Andy Pages CF
- 5 Kyle Tucker RF
- 6 Miguel Rojas 2B
- 7 Dalton Rushing C
- 8 Santiago Espinal 3B
- 9 Hyeseong Kim SS
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| LAD | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / B entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 1-2 with CHC listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost −0.04 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 2.43 vs actual lineup 2.48
- Player execution −2.48 R/G Players fell 2.48 short of the lineup's 2.48 projection (scored 0)
- Game variance −2.43 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Bregman 0-for-3 batting 2nd
- Manager lineup cost −0.11 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.60 vs actual lineup 3.71
- Player execution +2.29 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.71 projection by 2.29 (scored 6)
- Game variance +2.40 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Freeman 0-for-4 batting 2nd
Optimal lineups projected 2.4 – 3.6 — actual was 0 – 6.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.