Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals
Starting pitchers
Lineups
- 1 Zach Neto SS
- 2 Mike Trout CF
- 3 Yoán Moncada 3B
- 4 Jorge Soler DH
- 5 Nolan Schanuel 1B
- 6 Jo Adell RF
- 7 Josh Lowe LF
- 8 Travis d'Arnaud C
- 9 Adam Frazier 2B
- 1 Lane Thomas CF
- 2 Bobby Witt Jr. SS
- 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
- 4 Salvador Perez DH
- 5 Starling Marte RF
- 6 Carter Jensen C
- 7 Nick Loftin 3B
- 8 Isaac Collins LF
- 9 Michael Massey 2B
Box score
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAA | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 |
| KC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
Manager comparison
Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.
Recent form
Season series: 0-3 with LAA listed first across 3 prior meetings.
Tactical analysis
RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.
- Manager lineup cost +0.06 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.11 vs actual lineup 3.05
- Player execution +5.95 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.05 projection by 5.95 (scored 9)
- Game variance +5.89 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Frazier 2-for-5 from the 9-hole
- Manager lineup cost −0.02 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.01 vs actual lineup 4.03
- Player execution +6.97 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 4.03 projection by 6.97 (scored 11)
- Game variance +6.99 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation
Collins HR from the 8-hole
Optimal lineups projected 3.1 – 4.0 — actual was 9 – 11.
Keep reading
How RunsLeft analyzes games
Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.