ARCHIVE April 25, 2026
April 25, 2026 · AL Cent

Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals

April 25, 2026Kauffman StadiumCloudy 74°F · 7 mph, In From RF
AWAY
Los Angeles Angels
12-16
1
vs
HOME
Kansas City Royals
10-17
12

Starting pitchers

AWAY · LAA
Walbert Urena
Walbert Urena
IP 3.2
HOME · KC
Cole Ragans
Cole Ragans
IP 6

Lineups

AWAY · LAA
  1. 1 Zach Neto SS
  2. 2 Mike Trout CF
  3. 3 Jo Adell RF
  4. 4 Jorge Soler DH
  5. 5 Oswald Peraza 3B
  6. 6 Vaughn Grissom 2B
  7. 7 Nolan Schanuel 1B
  8. 8 Logan O'Hoppe C
  9. 9 Bryce Teodosio LF
HOME · KC
  1. 1 Carter Jensen C
  2. 2 Bobby Witt SS
  3. 3 Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
  4. 4 Salvador Perez DH
  5. 5 Jac Caglianone RF
  6. 6 Isaac Collins LF
  7. 7 Michael Massey 2B
  8. 8 Nick Loftin 3B
  9. 9 Kyle Isbel CF

Box score

  123456789 R
LAA 000100000 1
KC 022001340 12

Manager comparison

Both managers grade C / C entering this matchup.

AWAY · LAA
Kurt Suzuki
C Lineup 1.4 R Bunts 2.0 R IBBs 2.1 R
HOME · KC
Matt Quatraro
C Lineup 1.9 R Bunts 1.1 R IBBs 0.8 R

Recent form

AWAY · LAA
3-7 L1 -10 run diff
LWWLLWLLLL
HOME · KC
6-4 W1 +1 run diff
WLLWWWWWLL

Season series: 0-3 with LAA listed first across 3 prior meetings.

Tactical analysis

RunsLeft separates manager decisions from player execution from game variance. Each card below is the same three-number framework that drives the share cards on the SPA replay page.

AWAY · Los Angeles Angels
  • Manager lineup cost +0.09 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 4.30 vs actual lineup 4.20
  • Player execution −3.20 R/G Players fell 3.20 short of the lineup's 4.20 projection (scored 1)
  • Game variance −3.30 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Neto 0-for-4 batting 1st

HOME · Kansas City Royals
  • Manager lineup cost +0.01 R/G Optimal arrangement projects 3.73 vs actual lineup 3.72
  • Player execution +8.28 R/G Players exceeded the lineup's 3.72 projection by 8.28 (scored 12)
  • Game variance +8.27 R/G Total game outcome vs optimal expectation

Pasquantino 0-for-3 batting 3rd

COUNTERFACTUAL

Optimal lineups projected 4.3 – 3.7 — actual was 1 – 12.

Keep reading

How RunsLeft analyzes games

Standard content on this page comes from the MLB Stats API. Tactical analysis comes from a per-game Monte Carlo: 10,000 simulated games against the opposing starter's ERA, both for the actual lineup the manager wrote and for the optimal arrangement of those nine players. The three numbers — manager cost, player execution, game variance — separate which part of the result was the lineup, the players, or the dice.

Read the full methodology.